Showing posts with label birth rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label birth rates. Show all posts

Friday, August 15, 2025

Examining Racial and Ethnic Reality Part 1: Introduction, Home and Hearth, and Education

 

Growing up in the United States in the 1960’s and 1970's, we were often told that “polite society” doesn’t publicly discuss religious, political, or sexual preferences.  Race was another such topic. Today, things have changed and it seems that everything is on the table.  There are those who seem to expect some sort of positive reinforcement for wearing their political, religious, racial, or sexual allegiance on their sleeve.

They feel entitled to an obligatory pat on the back, a celebratory ice cream cone, or handout, and when that reward isn’t forthcoming, they become offended, indignant, or defensive. They become upset that their life choices or fluke of genetics aren’t being rewarded or as impressive as they think they should be to others. 

You’re expected to embrace their world view or face being ostracized (aka “cancelled”), shouted down, physically attacked, or worse yet, being called a name and incredibly, they become indignant when they are the ones called out.  Race and ethnicity are such topics, and ones which warrant critical examination.  

Introduction

For example, when we examine race, we find something similar in the reaction. Individuals, almost two centuries removed, want not just sympathy for what some ancestor may or may not have endured, but they want to be compensated for what they never experienced. Those who look beyond color and (to quote Dr. Martin Luther King), judge people by the “content of their character” are often considered the worst offenders.

They behave as if this was a one off historical phenomena. Just one group--- white Europeans---were somehow solely responsible for the institution of slavery, forgetting that the most prolific dealers of human flesh weren’t Europeans, but the Arabs of Northern Africa (who put a premium on white flesh).

They give no thought to the historical fact that forced servitude has existed since Mankind existed. Every people and every race has at one time or another been slave and master. It’s a chain we all wear. They have also conveniently ignored the fact that it was these same white Europeans who all but put an end to this hateful institution or that they implemented legislation and taxpayer supported programs balance the scale that has existed since we roamed the African savannahs.

Equally, they’ve chosen to disavow the historical fact that it was their brethren who betrayed them and sold them into slavery, which sadly still continues to this day in Africa as well as parts of Asia. Perhaps the ancestors of the person on the street they randomly call “brother” or “sister” may been responsible for the plight of their ancestor, only to have later been caught up in the net? Such twists of fate aren’t as uncommon as one might think. It’s well documented that blacks owned black slaves in the U.S. or that native Americans had slaves of all races.

Nevertheless, for some reason, they “demand” to be compensated for what they aren’t entitled to (and arguably have already been given). They “demand” that the people who freed their distant ancestors from bondage must also assume some form of self-imposed “guilt” for doing so. Why is that? Is this anger at the people who delivered them from slavery justified or is it anger at themselves for not taking the initiative to free themselves and their refusal to place the blame where it truly belongs?

Shouldn’t their anger be more accurately directed to those who ensured their bondage in the first place, or is that just a little too close to home? If there is some sort of guilt to be had, perhaps it should be their failure to take responsibility for their own future, trading a “master” on a plantation for a politician or bureaucrat? What of the millions of immigrants who’ve come here from a different culture and customs, not speaking the language, and with next to nothing in their pockets, but have adapted very quickly?

They took advantage of the opportunities available, and as a people, kept their independence, and succeeded while the so-called “freed” people who’ve had the advantage of time, language and integration remain in a state of self-imposed bondage, blaming others for their poverty, broken homes, crime, high unemployment, alcoholism and drug abuse. If it was systematic, there should be few or no exceptions, but there are many.

In their anger at themselves, they lash out at others, such as in Cincinnati a few weeks ago, violently attacking individuals who were of no threat to them or looting the businesses of immigrants who’ve succeeded. Is this self-loathing, reversed racialism, opportunism or a combination? Let’s set aside emotions, pre-conceived ideas, and bias in order to examine the data and see what it can tell us.

Home and Hearth

According to the U.S Census Bureau, Whites have 50.5% of all live births while Blacks have 13.9%. Asians and Pacific Islanders are responsible for 6.2%. Native Americans have 0.7% of all live births, and Hispanics make up 25%. Nevertheless, the overall percentage of White and Black fertility rates have been in decline over the past several decades as has Native Americans.

 However, Hispanics, Asians, and Pacific Islanders on the other hand have seen their fertility rates increase, meaning that Asian and Hispanic populations are growing relatively faster than that of whites and blacks. By 2050, the U.S. is expected to reach a near racial parity with no dominate race. How that will work out remains a guess but often cited as a key factor for an eventual (and likely) balkanization of the United States.

A key factor in predicting the eventual success of a child is whether or not they are born in a dual or single parent homes. According to the Center for Equal Opportunity, Black Americans have the highest rate of illegitimate children. According to the Center, nearly 70% of Black children---69.3%-- are born out of wedlock. Compare that to 41.6% of Hispanics and 21.9% of Whites. It’s 59.3% for Native Americans. For Asians of Chinese origin, that number is 6.4% while Japanese Americans it’s 9.7%.

Two interesting asides worth mentioning are these. 45% of Black professionals (including managers) have had at least one illegitimate child compared to just 3% of White professionals.73% of Black high school students admit to having sex. That compares to 52% of Hispanic students and 44% of White students. Also, Black adults have the highest divorce rates while Asians have the lowest. Native Americans have the second highest and Hispanics have the second lowest.

When it comes to preschool care, Hispanic children are most likely to receive home centered care from a parent.  Black children are most likely to receive some form of home based care from a non-parent relative (like grandparent, aunt, uncle, etc.). White kids are most likely to receive home based care from a non-parent or relative such as a nanny or babysitter. Children of mixed race were most likely to receive preschool care from some sort of center (such as a daycare). When it came to subsidized care, Hispanic and black children were most often the beneficiaries.

The National Library of Medicine reported that Black infants tended to have lower birth weights than other groups. They also reported than less than 1/3 of children living at or under the national poverty rate took advantage of programs such as Head Start, and while Head Start tends to provide higher quality care than other centers, Black children receive poorer quality care compared to children of other races. The reasons cited were the birth weight (including high nutritional foods, as well a poor educational levels Black as well as Hispanic ethnicity, especially in family care centers.

 Interestingly, a 2013 study by the Centers for Disease and Prevention reported that 70% of Black fathers who live with their kids were active in their lives compared to 60% of Whites and 45% of Hispanics. 78% of Black fathers tended to have dinner with their children every day while 74% of White fathers and 64% of Hispanic fathers did. Additionally, 27% of Black fathers took their children to and from activities. By contrast, just 20% of White fathers did.  When it came to the all important homework and childcare, 41% of Black fathers stepped up. Meanwhile, only 29% of Hispanic fathers and 28% of White fathers helped out.  

Education

When it comes to graduation, Asian and White students have the highest rates with Asians leading the way. Among Asians and Pacific Islanders, the graduation rate is 94%. For Whites it’s 90%. Hispanic graduation rates are 83% while for Black students it’s 81% and 74% for Native Americans.  

Some additional statistics along the same lines that I found was that 68% of Asians have a bachelor’s degree or higher. That compares to just 25% of Hispanics and 44% of Whites.  On the other side of spectrum, just 4% of Asian had less than a high school diploma. Only 5% of Blacks didn’t have a high school degree along just 7% of whites. However, just over 20% of Hispanics lacked a high school diploma.

It bears mentioning the Black females graduate at a higher percentage than Black males. 64.1% go on to college and graduate. Of those, 71.5% earn a master’s degree, and out of those, an impressive 65.9% obtain a doctorate although more Black males  overall have a doctorate or professional degrees such as a law  or medical degree. It bears mentioning that Black female students face a unique hurdle their counterparts don’t.

For those that tend to be “overachievers”, they are often harassed or treated as social outcasts for their academic performance, often being accused as “acting White”, coming most often from their Black male peers. There have been instances reported where Black students have asked that they not be singled out publicly for some achievement or award to avoid being bullied.

 Some actively try to downplay their academic performance, and even join in with the “bad crowd” in order to blend in. Some have reported being coerced into skipping assignments or school, drinking, drugs, violence, crime, and sex in order no to stand out. The result is that they usually end up holding the proverbial  “bag” and sidetracking their lives.

Finally, it bears mentioning that there are 180 “Black Only” academic scholarships and over 25 “Hispanic Only” scholarships and about 12 scholarship programs directed toward Asian-Americans. Native Americans can apply for approximately 150 “Native American Only” scholarships plus individual tribal scholarships. As for Whites, there are none. The reason, it's argued, is that Whites aren't a minority (the U.S. Census Bureau would disagree. White males are in fact a minority). 

Nevertheless, as the counter argument runs, scholarships should not be based on racial or other quotas, but rather on financial need based on their social-economic situation. It’s also worth noting that prior to 2023, ranked racial quotas were used by many colleges and universities in order to increase  on campus “diversity”, even bypassing higher qualified candidates.

In part two of our look at race, we'll take a look at employment and unemployment, Affirmative Action and quotas, racial equality in politics, crime  and prison sentencing. Finally, we’ll address the issues of reparations, the future of race relations, and what does all this mean, if anything?

Thank you for reading "Another Opinion", the Op/Ed blog page for the "militant middle".  Here at "A/O" we truly value our readers. At A/O we seek the facts as they exist, not partisan talking points.  We hope you find our articles informative and engaging. Comments are welcome, provided they are not vulgar, insulting or demeaning.  Another Opinion is offered without charge and is directed toward all independent and free-thinking individuals. We ask, however, that you "like" us on whatever platform you found us on in order to keep our articles available for free to others. Lastly, in order to keep costs down, we depend on passive marketing, and therefore, depend on our readers to please forward our posts along. Below you will find links to the sources we used in writing this article. Thank you. 


Trans-Saharan slave trade


Barbary slave trade


Barbary Pirates and English Slaves


Percentage of Births to Unmarried Women


Study: Black dads more involved in activities with theirchildren than other groups


Quality Disparities in Child Care for At-Risk Children:Comparing Head Start and Non-Head Start Settings


Fast Facts: Women of Color in Higher Ed


Race and Intelligence


First Divorce Rate by Age and Race/Ethnicity  


Saturday, August 05, 2017

The Islamization of Europe: Opening Salvos or Foregone Conclusion?

Can there be any doubt that Europe is under siege? Right now, Europe is facing the largest invasion in recorded history. Not even during the Roman invasions, which included France, Spain, Portugal, and England, and Germany along the Rhine, or the Viking incursions of the 7th through 12th century, the Norman conquest of modern day England, Scotland, Wales, and Ireland beginning in 1066. Not the 100 years ,30 years or 7 years wars. The Asiatic invasions of the Huns led by Attila, the Alans, Goths, Visigoths or even the Mongols of the "Golden Hoard" were this pervasive. Neither were the ancient Persian invasions under the command of Darius I or his son, Xerxes I in the late 6th and 5th centuries respectively. Perhaps the closest modern equivalent Europe has come to matching an invasion of this scale was the by the Ottomans and Arab armies which conquered in the West all of Portugal and Spain and pushed into France and in the East to walls of Vienna...literally in 1683 (and in the processing, destroying the last vestiges of the Roman Empire, namely the Byzantine Empire in 1453). In fact, they held on to the Balkans for centuries before finally being ousted by the Greeks in 1829. But what is this cataclysmic "invasion" I speak of? Allow me to explain.

Europe's invasion has been going on in drips for a few decades now; every since the EU approved an "open border" for anyone wanting to immigrant to Europe, especially from former colonies. Currently most of Europe operates under a specific open borders agreement called the "Schengan Agreement" which allows free movement and trade between member states (except during times of emergency which border checks are reintroduced). Part of the agreement's intent was to create not just a continental labor market, but to expend this into a global labor market under the optimist title "PeopleFlow". However, since about 2010, the influx of migrants have put a tremendous strain on all the member states, especially given that the majority of the migrants are actually either under skilled or unskilled (not surprisingly many lie on their applications). In additional, there have been millions who claim to be asylum seekers from war torn areas in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, and other countries. However, in reality, many of these individuals are from areas not affected by regional conflicts, and are coming from other countries. Furthermore, many are active members of various terrorists group either seeking to recruit from the hoards of migrants or entering Europe for the purpose of setting up terrorist cells as recent attacks in France, Germany, and England have borne out.

Nevertheless, despite calls for tighter controls, the genie is out of the bottle. Europe has much to more to fear than terrorists. With dramatic increase of Muslims through Europe, Scandinavia, and England, combined with the lowering birth rates in these countries, has now placed Europe on what may be called a "population replacement". The average number of children being born in Europe among native populations is approximately 1.3 to 1.5. (a rate of 2 is considered a equilibrium replacement since only both parents are being replaced by an equal number of children). However, among the migrants from Africa, which are much poorer and less educated and those from the Middle East, who are better skilled and slightly more educated, the birth rate is around 5 to 6 per couple. Obviously, you don't have to be a math whiz to see the problem. To make matters worse both populations are overwhelmingly Muslim.

At present, France has the majority of Muslims, with a population of just under 5 million; that's half of all immigrants to France and just under 42% are under age 18. One of France's most historic cities and key sea port, Marseilles, has a Muslim population of around 40% and is considered the most dangerous city in France and one of the most dangerous in Europe. Germany's population of Muslims is similar with 4.7 million. Belgium and Holland have a Muslim population of 1 million respectively. Great Britain's Muslim population is 4.8 million, which the majority being centered in London and York. Sweden has 430,000, mainly centered in the major cities in the South. Bulgaria's Muslim population is 13.5% of the overall population, while Greece's is 5.3 %. Despite being one of the smallest countries in Europe, the Muslim population in Cyprus is 25.3% of the population, or about 280,000.

Combine this dramatic increase among new arrivals is their "demand" that they be exempt of national laws and/or only Islamic Sharia law be applied, and not just to Muslims, but to everyone. In some areas, there are "no go zones" for police as well as tourist! Even the news media has been assaulted trying to cover incidents in these areas. There are roving "religious police" patrolling areas and handing out citations to anyone who is in violation of Sharia law. Meanwhile, national laws are ignored. Then too we have to add in the co-mingling of men and women (and boys and girls) which is in strict violation of Sharia law, as is homosexuality, clothing---especially for females---that doesn't cover their entire bodies. According to some of the younger Muslim immigrants, this is an open invitation to attack and rape any female who is dressed "provocatively" . Many have said they have a "right" to beat or even murder these individuals (including small children) in accordance to their religious laws. Going further, many Muslims show absolutely no regard no just to national laws, but to private property. During one Islamic festival in Paris, a parade turned into a riot and over 1000 vehicles were torched.

So, what can be done? Well, there's one group, Patriotic Europeans Against the Islamization of Europe, or "Pegida" according to its German acronym. They have spread news of attacks, rapes, looting by these migrants, and well as hold marches and rallies or counter rallies. However, it seems that everyone from the leadership of Pegida to Chancellor Angela Merkel on down are scared that someone is going to accuse these protests as "Nazi" or "fascist" (while 47% of German's on the political Right oppose or have a negative impression of the Muslims migrants, only 17% on the Left do. Hungary has the highest disapproval rate at 72%, followed by Italy at 69% and Poland at 66%). Personally, I don't quite understand the fear. Perhaps the Germans are most sensitive to being accused of "racism" or "hate" speeches and so forth because of Hitler and the Nazis. Nevertheless, the war has been over close to 80 years now. Just about everyone involved are dead; certainly the key leadership.

Secondly, the Nazis were about finding scapegoats, namely the Jews and gypsies. But that's not the case here. These Islamic extremists actually are attempting to usurp Germany's traditions, values, laws, and even its history; the exactly what Hitler's party did. If anything, the migrants are taking up the role of the Nazis. In fact, Hitler's "Mein Kampf" is the second bestselling book behind the Koran in Islamic countries. Furthermore, several Islamic groups and even countries honor Hitler as a national hero. Therefore, by default in failing to defend Germany and the rest of Europe, Germans are indirectly supporting the core creed of Nazism. Ironic isn't it? This same effort is being applied elsewhere in Europe too, not just in Germany. Meanwhile, Great Britain has created its own nationalist party, the National Front while Greece has the Golden Dawn. Other countries have formed political parties too along with groups to oppose these Islamic religious police. One of the most famous, which operates in Germany and Scandinavia, is the "Sons of Odin". They claim their role is keep an eye on Sharia patrols and prevent any harassment of individuals (especially gang rapes) as well as breakup any attempted attacks on businesses (especially night clubs, taverns, or restaurants).

While the number of individuals who comprise the "Sons of Odin" are relatively small. Some estimates put the number at just under 1000 or so. This presents a potential problem down the road. As stated previously, ISIS/ISIL/DASH and other Islamic terrorists groups appear to be embedded with these migrants coming ashore in Europe, either for the purpose of recruiting fighters to return to the Middle East, or to set up terrorist cells within European cities as we've seen recently in Paris and London. However, here's another statistic of some interest. Approximately 27,000 fighters have traveled to Iraq and Syria to train and fight on behalf of these terrorist organizations since 2011, an estimated 10,000 have come from Europe. While traditionally Muslim countries like Tunisia, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, Morocco, are to be expected, Russia, France, and Germany are not, yet they make up the top ten countries which sends fighters; 2400, 1700, and 760 respectively. By comparison the top Islamic country, Tunisia, has provided 6500 volunteers while Jordan has sent 2250. Turkey, a NATO ally with ties to the EU, has seen 2100 go off to fight. The point here is that many of these individual will find their way back to Europe. What do you think they are going to do with their skills, especially as the groundwork is being prepared by ISIS or Al Qaeda recruiters and instructors?

Now, here is a final group of numbers I want to bring to your attention which I find to be very telling. As most of you know, I am a Navy vet and a life member of the Disabled American Veterans. I strongly believe in and support our military. Without it, this country...and others...wouldn't exist. Now, while Europe is currently undergoing a non-military siege, one that is every bit as cunning and nefarious as a military invasion, to destroy Europe and with it, much of Western Civilization which includes all the freedoms we hold dear--- speech, expression, a civil government, individualism and so forth. This invasion brings with it suppression of these freedoms. No free speech or open dialogue, no question of authority---especially as it concerns religion... and everything revolves religion.

According to a 2015 Gallop Poll, only 18% of Germans believe in fighting to protect their country. Only 15% of the Dutch would fight to save Holland while 77% of the Czechs would stay home. Unfortunately the numbers don't get much better. 21% of Austria, 25% of Bulgaria, 27% of Great Britain, and 29% of France would take up arms to protect their country. However 54% of Greece would fight to save the cradle of Western Civilization. 59% would step up to protect Mother Russia, while 74% of the Finns would fight. 47% of Poles would fight to protect their homeland. 62% of Ukrainians would fight but 80% of Italians wouldn't. Turkey, a key player in the above, came second behind Finland with 73%. Other countries had substantially higher numbers, like Morocco and Fuji. 94% said they would fight for their country. 89% of Pakistanis would come to the aid of their country (India take note). 89% of Vietnamese would fight too (which is well documented by history).

So who is the lowest percentage who would fight to protect their country? Japan with just 11%. Just over 75 years ago, they were one of the mightiest nations in the world. Thus, the average for the 64 nations surveyed was 61%. The numbers were highest for emerging nations was 83%. The lowest was Western Europe---the very nations being overrun for migrants from the same second and third world nations----with an average of 25%. Interestingly, among just Muslim nations, the average percentage willing to fight for their country was 75%; again part of the same countries who are non-militarily invading Europe. Coincidence? By the way, in case you were wondering, 44% of Americans said they would fight a war to protect America. That put us between Serbia and Argentina (which, as you may know, is in the middle of a economic and social meltdown).

Interesting isn't it? Out of curiosity I checked on a few other countries. China got 71%, India received 75%, while 34% of Israelis would stay home. 56% of Mexicans would fight. Hey, I've got an idea, let's hire the Chinese. They work cheap. They're willing to fight and they're good at building walls! As for our neighbors to the north, Canada, 70% would stay home (or go to a hockey game) while just 29% of Australians would show up to throw down. Guess the rest will be at a "barbie" on the beach. Heck, maybe I'll join them.


Open Borders: A future for Europe, migrants, and the world economy



Europe's Islam Problem


5 facts about the Muslim population in Europe


Percentage of Europeans Who Are Willing To Fight A War For Their Country

Saturday, September 27, 2014

Trending


As anyone who knows me will attest, I love statistics, especially the study of trends. Trends, if you will, are a glimpse at a possible future. I love playing with the numbers and squeezing every iota of information out of them. Of course, the future is always fluid. Every once in a while I like to do an intellectual exercise I call "What if?". It's something akin to Einstein's famous "thought experiments". The exercise takes a specific trend or trends and extrapolates to obtain possible scenarios of the future. Let's take birth rates for instance and current trends given the present political climate.

To sustain a general population, one needs as birth rate of 1:1. That is, 2 parents equals two children; essentially replacement. To grow a population, you need to increase that by at least one, or 2 parents producing two replacement offspring plus a minimum of one extra. Simple enough right? Well, here's where we get to have some fun. While the world average is around 1.17%. In the US, it's about .77%. In the UK, it's .54%. Italy's population growth rate is only .30% while Canada's is .76%. France has a growth rate of about .45%, yet Germany's is -0.18%. Russia is -0.03% and the once crowded Japan is -0.13%. In short, many of the advanced--industrial or technological---countries are in severe decline; beyond even replacement growth, and a few have reached unsustainable rates beyond the point of no return.

Now, couple this with the fact that the majority of third world nations are growing drastically. The South Sudan has a population rate of 4.12%. Zimbabwe is 4.32% while Niger is 3.38%. Pakistan and Saudi Arabia both have growth rates of 1.49%. Ethiopia's is 2.89. In addition, the nations with the highest growth rates are not only dirt poor and even more poorly educated, they also tend to be Moslem and because of the European Union's "Open Door" policy, they are settling in Europe in droves and making themselves quite at home with the rather liberal social system, which in turn, is breaking the economic back of Europe. In short, Europe cannot continue to absorb the increase in immigration, and at the current overall growth rate of -0.2% among non-Moslems compared to 1.2% among Moslems living in Europe; it will in all likelihood cease to exist as the West has known it for the five or so millennia. By year 2050, the majority of European countries are projected to either have a majority or plurality Moslem, especially Sweden and Germany along with much of southeastern Europe. So then, what about the United States? What could our future look at?

Well, one thing is for certain, the days of the WASP (that is, White Anglo-Saxon Protestants) are over; kaput. At 36%, white males are already a statistical minority in America (white females are still about 50.9% of the population. Still, whites make up the largest population demographic at about 69%. However, the Hispanic population, already the second largest ethnic group, will triple over the next few years and will make up about 30% of the population by 2030. Whites, on the other hand, will be a minority with 47% by then. Blacks will remain at 13% while the percentage of Asians will increase from 5% to 9% and may be a plurality in some areas along the West Coast. Overall, the US population will increase by 48% to 432 million and foreign born individuals could out number native born, and while the America will be much grayer, those of working age are more likely than not to be either foreign born or first generation children of the foreign born immigrants, particularly Hispanic.

In terms of religion, America will make a dramatic shift away from mainstream Protestantism which has dominated the US since the English first landed and established Jamestown. The majority of Hispanics---55%---regardless of country of origin, are Roman Catholic. Given the number of Americans of European origin who are already Catholic, America could find itself for the first time a Catholic nation while Protestant denominations will follow the graying of the rest of America. However, some Hispanics have converted to various Protestants denominations while others have moved away from any religious identification altogether. At the same time, as the population of Moslems increases, along with their high birth rates, we could see a substantial increase in the number of Mosques. One projection indicated that 11% of the population will be Moslem within the next 10 years. while another projected the Moslem population in the US to rise from 2.6 million currently to 6.2 million by 2030, and could potentially dominate in some urban areas.

Economically, we all know the story by now. The gap between rich and everyone else is wider than at any time before. The average salaries among CEOs and the employees is about 350% higher. Unions, which have the potential to close some of that gap, are basically on life support. Their only growth being among the public sector; approximately 11% of US workers are unionized. America too is now an oligarchy; that's is, it's government is controlled by the a ruling elite, which in this case is the top 1% and it's corporations. The democratic republic, Benjamin Franklin said, was ours to keep if we could, is gone. We now live in the light of its fading embers. In fact, we are quickly headed for classic fascism, which means government serving as a junior partner to big business with government serving more as a overseer or manager. Nations will be nothing more than resource zones.

In terms of politics, again, nothing too different here. Independents are the largest political "party" at 47% followed by Democrats
with 26% and Republicans at 25%. The GOP, in fact, lags behind pretty much across the board among the youth (Millennials---ages 18 to 33), Hispanics, Asians, blacks, and women. However, white voters in general have turned increasingly to the GOP, perhaps out of support for the overall conservative tone because of their declining numbers rather agreement on specific issues. But those who lean conservative, especially among the Millennials, still aren't as socially conservative as the GOP is currently. With the declining number of Babyboomers who've supported the Republican Party in the past, and factor in the "back-to-basics" Tea Party which has been erroneously projected by the corporate media as a bunch of "wackos", the future doesn't look too bright among the Elephant set. However, things aren't all rosy on the Democrat side either. The groups which make up its core---unions, women, low income, and minorities---see the Democratic Party as simply another just other wing of the corporate elites, which would be largely true, especially along issues of illegal immigration, defense spending, reduction in social services, and the economy. Perhaps that's why most Americans, especially the Millennials, are Independents; they're looking for balance, albeit a slightly more left leaning balance. Interesting, several key states, including New Jersey and Massachusetts, are now predominately Independent.

So, what does America of the future look like? There are countless possible scenarios, and any one of them could be just as accurate. However, I could foresee an America which looks much like Yugoslavia or the Austro-Hungarian Empire did; perhaps even of the old Czarist Russia or early USSR or especially the Roman Empire; a hodgepodge of cultural, racial, lingual, and ethno-religious enclaves interspersed with "native" European derived populations--albeit older. We'll have areas of extreme affluence mixed with other areas comparable with any third world country. The wealthy elite will hide behind the gated and high tech security communities while outside will remain dangerous for the ordinary individual. Neighborhoods will have roving volunteer security patrols of their own while other areas, especially intercities, will come under the control of gangs and criminal cartels with most everyone paying some form of "tax" or protection money. Pollution and decay will be everywhere the rich aren't.

Our nation's infrastructure will continue to decay; there will be little money for repairs, let alone new developments. However, look for some aspiring politician or special interest group to "adopt" this or that project---good publicity at bargain basement prices. What money is available will go to the military, the para-military police departments to fight the nebulous-like terrorists and maintain order; capitalism abhors instability, and what's left to social services, though that too will be greatly curtailed as there will be fewer working age individuals to support the older population segment. The police will serve more as a government militia with the same military mentality, especially along "border" areas where various ethnic or racial or even religious groups occasionally become violent (think West Bank). Speaking of borders, don't expect to see any. National borders will vanish. In their place we'll see Regional States supplanting Nation States.

Academically, America will continue to fall further behind as we continue to dumb our academic criteria; we're already 36th in the world, behind Asian and several second tier countries. Technology will continue to blossom, for those who can afford it. Meanwhile, we become ever more economic serfs owned by debt and credit ratings. Politically, we'll still be given the illusion of choice that we have now, but it may be more openly a mere formality. The Republican Party in its present form is likely to disappear, but some new version will assume it's mantle. Either way, the agenda it's now pursuing will increasingly fail to persuade voters, perhaps to the level of national or even regional irrelevance. Meanwhile, whatever political parties exist will be blatantly "company" men and women. We will see the full force of "friendly fascism" as Dr. Bertram Gross so aptly called it in his book by the same name. This won't be the America of mom, apple pie, and Norman Rockwell paintings. However, there's another possible future based on these trends.

The existing trends do not support the political system as it now exists. Both political parties are seen as corrupt and inept.
Washington is beyond out of touch, and most certainly beyond any hope of reform. Corporations openly own government in this country. They are not seen as "individuals" with any of the rights of a flesh and blood person. We do not see ourselves as an entirely free people anymore. Government is perceived as the "enemy", and increasingly so are corporations, the rich, the police and so forth. One could almost sense that society itself is being interpreted as the problem. People want more control over their personal lives. Yes, there must be certain guidelines, but if those guidelines are based on someone else's personal or religious beliefs, then how can they be imposed on someone else? They don't want someone---anyone---telling them what they can do with their lives. They also point to corporations and certain individuals having way too much power; too much wealth. They would, therefore, like to see that balanced out, but the "how" remains in question. Perhaps by capping income levels, or higher tax rates, or changing the current tax code to either a flat tax or a consumption tax. Perhaps something altogether different.

People seem to want a more decentralized government whereby power and decision making is more localized. They want more emphasis on societal benefits, be it social services or cleaning up the environment. Most are issues driven. Most have no problem with the gay issue. It's a personal matter. Most seem to believe one is rewarded by their own individual efforts, meaning there's a personal drive to risk and reward, while at the same time strongly oppose corporate handouts as much as they do corporate influence in government. The same goes for religion. Secularism is the strongest among the younger segment, while Catholicism is strongest among recent immigrants from Latin America, followed by mainstream Protestantism. However, after a time, that appears to wane. In looking at Europe, religious participation among Christians has steadily declined, even in Catholic countries like France, Spain, Italy, and Poland or in strongly Lutheran Germany. It has, however remained strong among Moslem immigrants, but there's the strong likelihood that over time, that too will begin to decline. Science and technology seems to be filling the void, and it is perhaps because of science, and particularly technology, that birth rates for the more advanced populations have declined since the more opportunities to explore the mind---even if it's in the form of playing games.

There are, of course, many other threads we could examine; variations on a theme. But, the basic point is that not only is America changing, but so is the world. Nations, as functioning sovereign States, are disappearing. In their place are regionalized nations, created and controlled by transnational corporations. Some nations are resisting with varying degree of success. Certain religions and/or ethnic groups are feeling the same threat. Some are creatures of the very same powers which created them in the first place. One wonders whether they continue to fight for the same masters in order to bring about a state of "siege" in order to impose a police state---the best friend of fascism---at the public's insistence. It wouldn't be the first time. Naturally, none of this is in stone. It's merely an extrapolation based on current trends. However, the past is gone, and to a large degree, the present isn't as we imagined it. The question then, is what will our future be? The answer to that question rests with you my dear readers.



Europe's Moslem Future
http://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/features/europes-muslim-future

Pew Research: Religion and Public Life Project
http://www.pewforum.org/2011/01/27/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-europe/

List of Countries by population growth rate
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population_growth_rate

The Shifting Identity of Latinos in the United States
http://www.pewforum.org/2014/05/07/the-shifting-religious-identity-of-latinos-in-the-united-states/

Disclosed: The Pay Gap between CEOs and Employees
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-05-02/disclosed-the-pay-gap-between-ceos-and-employees

American union membership declines as public support fluctuates
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/02/20/for-american-unions-membership-trails-far-behind-public-support/

US high school students slide in Math, Reading, and Science
http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2013/12/03/248329823/u-s-high-school-students-slide-in-math-reading-science