Traditionally, America has never liked to "switch horses mid-stream" during a war or other national crisis, and that's
what Mr. Biden is hoping for. In fact, he's counting on it. Biden has
intentionally put U.S. military forces directly in harm's way in order to
virtually guarantee to provoke a crisis with the radical Houthi in Yemen. The
Houthi, along with other terrorist groups including ISIS/ISIL, Al Qaeda,
Hezbollah, the Taliban, Boko Harem, and others are believed to be actively
supported by America's arch-nemesis, Iran
It's worth mentioning that there are approximately 100,000
members of the Houthi. They control roughly two thirds of the most populated areas in
Yemen. Hezbollah, which is most active in southern Lebanon, numbers to about
100,000 as well with roughly 60,000 full time and part time fighters. Boko Harem, which operates mainly in Nigeria,
Chad, northern Cameroon, and Mali, is much smaller with roughly 15,000 followers.
No one knows for sure how many members of Al Qaeda are left.
During the 20 year war in Afghanistan, thousands of so-called "freedom
fighters" came from surrounding areas to take part in fight against the
"Great Satan" (aka the U.S.). Best estimates indicate that as many as
20,000 of these "freedom fighters" were killed or seriously wounded.
Currently it's believed that Al Qaeda/Al Nusra have about 3000 members.
ISIS/ISIL came into being as a spinoff of Al Qaeda which they saw as too moderate. The United Nations has previously reported that volunteers from as many as 80 countries have ventured from their homeland to join ISIS (many were self recruited via the internet. ISIS has been unique among the terrorist organizations in its technological sophistication).
Behind all these organizations stands Iran, the archenemy
of the United States since the Hostage Crisis of 1979 and the overthrow of the
Shah. America, via the CIA, had previously overthrown the center-left government
of Mohammad Mosaddegh, in 1953 and replaced it with Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi,
a secular, pro-Western and very conservative autocratic.
However, in 1979, the Shah, as he was known, was overthrown
by the followers of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. Out went the Shah and a
secular Iran and in its place Iran became an extreme theocratic country. All
traces of equality and secular democracy went out the door. During the
takeover, the radical Revolutionary Guard seized 52 U.S. embassy workers. They
were constantly threatened with being murdered.
President Jimmy Carter authorized a rescue attempt which
was poorly planned, poorly executed, and ultimately failed. After 444 days, the hostages were finally
freed as soon as Ronald Reagan was sworn in as president. Ever since, the
United States has been trying to pick a fight with Iran. Iran, on the other hand, has been attempting
to exert its influence throughout the region, and has made repeated threats to
destroy Israel (aka "the little Satan). To help accomplish this, Iran has sponsored
terrorists groups throughout the Middle
East and beyond.
All of these various terrorist groups have tend to
subscribe to a intense hatred of the United States, Israel, and the West. This
includes our democratic ideals such as religious and gender equality, free
speech, free choice, and so forth. Some of these groups would love to prohibit
music of all genres, dancing, singing, alcohol and drugs all types, smoking, or
swimming just as an example.
President Biden previously sent two U.S. naval carrier
strike forces, led by the USS Gerald Ford and USS Dwight Eisenhower, to the
eastern Mediterranean and parked them off the coast of Gaza (the British dispatched
a carrier strike force as well as part of the united show of force). Officially, our presence was to
"monitor" the situation between the Israelis and its ongoing
operations in Gaza against the terrorist group Hamas.
However, that role almost immediately changed from one of
neutral monitoring to active participation as the U.S. has repeatedly
intercepted missiles and attack drones sent by the Houthi in Yemen. Thus far
about a dozen missiles and around 21 armed drones have been intercepted.
On Biden's orders, planes from the U.S. carriers made
several strikes on Houthi compounds in Yemen, resulting in several Houthi rebels and Yemeni civilians
being killed and six wounded. That action has provoked a series of massive protests
throughout Yemen as a violation of Yemeni territorial sovereignty.
Meanwhile, the Pentagon announced in early January that the
USS Gerald Ford strike group would be returning home. It will be replaced by
the USS Bataan, an amphibious assault ship and centerpiece of a Marine centered
Amphibious Assault Group capable of delivering 1,687 Marines anywhere they're
needed. In this case, Israel. It also
has a impressive complement of attack helicopters and short-hop attack aircraft
such as the F35B Lightning II and the AV-8B Harrier II.
As an aside, the USS Bataan was used in the 2020 targeted
killing of Iranian Major General Qasem Soleimani of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard and commander of the Quds Force, which I'm sure hasn't go
unnoticed by Tehran's military leadership. In addition, in 2008/9, the Bataan
and Peleliu were secretly used as prison
ships to hold suspected terrorists.
As if intentionally trying to makes matters worse, Biden
sent a private message to Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi advising that the
U.S. was "prepared" for any actions the Iranian government cared to
undertake, in what can only be characterized as a clear and unambiguous threat
designed to provoke the Iranians. But what of Biden's assertion that the U.S.
was prepared? It turned out, he lied.
According to a Department of Defense "Fact
Sheet", our military faces shortages on practically every front. Equipment, spare parts, and resources from
secondary or even non-military sources are having to be diverted to meet demand
by the military. U.S. naval ships are in serious need of a general overhaul
while aircraft in the Air Force and Navy need a complete update amid critical
spare part shortages.
The U.S. Department of Defense also raised the question as
to whether our armed forces would be able to adequately engage in a multi-front
conflict on a sustained level. The report went on to provide an analysis of the
readiness of each of the military branches.
The Navy's capabilities are rated as "weak to very
weak". To be effective, the Navy needs a battle ready fleet of at least
400 ships. It currently has 298, and the majority of those need overhauling. The
fleet is expected to shrink further to 280 ships by 2037. Meanwhile, China has
been aggressively increasing its regional fleet which could mean defending Taiwan
from a Chinese invasion may be problematic at best.
The fighting capability of the Air Force is listed by the
DOD as "very weak" which is dangerous since control of the air is the
single key deciding factor in most every battle. The USAF is currently at 86%
of its minimum strength and facing a shortage of around 650 pilots. Most planes are at least 32 years old and because
of a lack of spare parts, pilots are barely getting in adequate flight time to
meet minimum standards to retain peak performance.
The Space Force is seen as a "weak" with its role
still not clearly defined. However, like all the other military branches, it
has to cope with aging equipment, a lack of properly trained personnel, and few
Finally, the Marine Corp. Out of all the military branches,
only the Marines were viewed by the DOD as being "combat ready"
despite facing the same issues when it came to having ample aircraft and
military equipment, spare parts, and adequately trained individuals.
Iran has been actively developing its nuclear capabilities
amid its incessant threats that once developed, they intend to use them against
Israel even if it means their own destruction. What kind of country dedicates
itself to its own national genocide? Of
course, we face the ever present possibility of a "dirty bomb" being
used by some fanatic against a ill-defined "infidel" country. Of
course, top on that list would be the United States (aka "the Big
Satan"), particularly given our porous southern border.
Biden's recent taunt of Iran or stirring the hornet's nest
in Yemen aren't the smartest moves a president could make, but that's what he's
done. There's no question that Biden's moves are politically motivated. He's
trying desperately to boost his ratings and project the image of a strong leader.
Sadly for Biden is
that he has never been seen as a strong leader. Of what can be said about it him
historically, much of it isn't complementary. Worse still is that what the world sees is a tired
old partisan politician who is quickly losing his grip on reality.
The worse thing that can happen right now is for Biden to
get us embroiled in a war, either directly or indirectly with Iran. Despite his
empty bravado, we are not prepared and our enemies know it. It really just a
matter of whether they want war or peace. Meanwhile, we need to avoid stoking a
fire in the Middle East which could spill over into a invasion of Taiwan by
China and a move by North Korea against the Seoul in the south.
While we do need a strong leader, Biden has clearly demonstrated for all to see that he is no longer competent enough for the job of President and Commander in Chief. However, the Right needs to accept the fact that Trump's credibility may have been irreparably damaged by this point as to be no longer effective, which leaves us with a serious national dilemma. With both parties potentially having a lame duck candidate, is there anyone capable of unifying and leading the nation at this critical juncture in our history?
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