Not much has been said or written about illegal immigration
lately. We've been focused on inflation, the war in Ukraine, the growing
aggression of China, the "Great Resignation", and gas prices.
However, none of that, as severe as they may be on their own, replaces the
issue of illegal immigration which goes back to at least the presidency of
Ronald Reagan, and yet we're hearing very little about it.
Illegal immigration is "the quiet invasion".
Currently there is an estimated 11.7 million illegals currently living in the
United States. 53% are believed to be Mexican. 16% are from Asia (mainly China,
the Philippines, Vietnam, and Korea), followed by El Salvador, Guatemala, and
Honduras. About 4% or 430,000 illegal residents are from India.
However, 17% or about 2 million are from elsewhere, such as
Russia, Africa, Middle East or Europe. Most come from "south of the
border", however, Canada has become an important crossing point due to its
largely open and thinly monitored border. Amusingly, there's an estimated
70,000 Canadians living in the U.S. illegally. Most of those are thought to be
residing on either coasts. California and Texas saw the biggest influx with a
combined 40% of all illegal immigrants.
Other crossing points
includes U.S. coastlines which are typically unmonitored and typically close to
large cities. The good news is that the
border patrol usually intercepts up to 2/3 of those attempting to enter
illegally. A record 210,000 were arrested in March 2022; a 24% increase from
March 2019.
During President Trump's Administration, illegal immigration
dropped off significantly due to his
crackdown, starting with a wall along the Texas/Mexico border. 2017 saw a 46
year low; down 25% from 2016, although still well less than under the Obama
Administration's high of 298,000 arrests in 2009 compared to Trump's high of 143,000
in 2019. Nevertheless, President Biden promised to undo many of Trump's
immigration policies.
As promised, on his
first day in office Biden signed six executive orders reversing portions of
Trump's immigration policies. He also sent Congress a comprehensive immigration
reform bill. Biden has taken steps to boosting refugee admissions (and expanding
the requirements to qualify as a refugee), protecting so-called
"Dreamers" or those who came here illegally as a minor alone or with
their parents, and expanding Obama's "DACA"
or "Deferred Action for Childhood
Arrivals" program.
It should be noted that under United Nations guidelines,
refugees are considered those fleeing their country due to war/conflict or
ethnic and/or religious persecution. UN guidelines state that refugees must go
to the next nearest safe country, not
traverse the continent to find one of their liking. However, per the UN, those seeking economic betterment
do not qualify as refugees.
Biden's proposals ignore that exception since most
individuals seeking entry into the United States are doing so to improve their
economic status. Biden has stated that the U.S. is committed to settling some
20,000 refugees, particularly from Latin America, and most notably from Haiti.
He is also resuming the Cuban Family Reunification Parole Program which will
allow reunification of Cubans with their American relatives (a similar program
will be made available for Haitians).
He also decided not to enforce the "public charge rule",
denying green cards to those who would use them to obtain taxpayer backed
benefits such as Medicaid and Social Security, as well as food stamps. Biden also
supports legislation to allow the estimated 11.5 million here illegally a means
whereby they can remain legally, and even obtain citizenship over a eight years
period.
69% of those issued a green card are based on pre-existing
family ties here in the United States. 14% are issued for purpose of obtaining
legal employment. 8% are given to refugees while their application for
permanent residency is being processed under the Temporary Protection
Program. Another aspect of Biden's
loosened immigration policy is broadening standards needed to obtain a H-1 Work
Visa, especially for highly skilled or agricultural workers (which comprised
22% and 24% of the visa's issued).
Another change made by the Biden Administration has been the
restructuring of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (or better known as
"ICE"). From now on, it will restrict its immigration enforcement to
those who pose a threat to U.S. national security such as felons and recent
illegal immigrants (thus excusing the so-called "Dreamers").
It would also reprioritized
to lower status those with older non-felony
criminal records.
In the last 11 months of the Trump Administration, an
average of 6,000 illegal immigrants were
arrested monthly by ICE. Under Biden, that
number has dropped by half for the first 11 months of his administration. Biden also moved to halt Title 42, which was
the last effective legal mechanism for deporting illegal immigrants.
Title 42 was a public health order which provided government
the power to deport an immigrant for health reasons such as the spread of
contagious diseases like STDs or Covid. This was to have gone into effect in
May 2022. However, just prior to being halted, a federal judge in Louisiana
blocked the move which means immigrants can still be deported for spreading
certain diseases...for now.
Also among those whose arrest have been reprioritized are illegal females who are pregnant,
recently given birth, or are currently nursing, along with those currently
hospitalized, under doctor's care, attending a public function like a wedding
or funeral, attending a religious function, or is at a social services
facility. Children at school or on a playground may not be apprehended (including
their parents or other relatives). The idea appears to be to create a softer
and more compassionate immigration enforcement agency.
ICE raids of businesses are known to strike fear in the
hearts of illegal immigrants out of fear of arrest and deportation, while
proving to be an annoyance to employers who are often fined but rarely
arrested, face the loss or suspension of their business license, or serve
time. Between 2000 and 2020, there were
nearly 30,000 arrests of employees as a result of these raids but fewer than 75
managers.
Now, under Biden, such raids have stopped. In addition, now
the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) are actually encouraging illegal
employees to rat on employers for "exploitative" or unsafe employment
practices in exchange for legal protection and deferred deportation status (in
other words, DHS looks the other way while they're given a head start to get
out of Dodge and find another job).
Lastly, the Biden Administration ended the family separation
program, which was begun under the Obama Administration, but for which
President Trump was blamed by the media. In conjunction, Biden also ended the
long term family detention program which had been in effect since 2001.
So, what does all this mean? As a result of the changes
discussed above, the border patrol has stated that they are anticipating as
many as 18,000 attempted illegal border crossing per day. Yet, despite the
changes, Biden didn't change the funding for DHS or ICE in FY 2022. But for FY 2023, he is requesting $56.7
billion for Homeland Security, which includes an 80% increase in funding for
immigration courts.
However, Biden is also asking for a 8% reduction in funding for
ICE's Enforcement and Removal program while funding of the Border Patrol is
expected to see a 13% increase over the previous funding. This increase calls
for the hiring of an additional 300 border agents.
More technology will be added to border protection, which
will increase to $309 million. It includes funding for additional watch towers,
personnel sensors, aircraft/drones, and
aircraft monitors to detect incoming planes. Lastly, funding of ICE's detention
operations will see a drop by about 25%.
This represents a decrease from 34,000 beds to around
25,000, meaning that ICE will not be capable of holding as many detainees,
which in turn, encourages fewer arrests and more rapid processing. Overall,
Biden's FY 2023 budget, as it pertains to containing and curtailing illegal
immigration isn't much different than President Trump's. Critics of the budget
are already chiding Biden for "more of the same".
With just under two more years remaining in office, it's unlikely
Biden will do anything dramatic. It's also just as likely that, given his
consistently poor approval rating (which is currently at 36% for the fourth
straight week), that Biden will see a second term (not to mention his declining
mental health). There's also an increasing likelihood that the Democrats could
lose control of at least one chamber of Congress in the midterm elections this
November.
Overall, his FY 2023 budget appears more of a readjustment
of both Obama's and Trump's immigration policies rather than anything new.
Having said that, the ongoing situation in Ukraine will likely result in more
refugees being accepted than expected.
Afghanistan too is continuing to unravel as the Taliban
slowly try to re-impose its version of Sharia law despite assurances to the
contrary. This has been particularly hard on female professionals who had begun
to thrive during the American occupation as they had during the pre-Taliban
era. The same thing applies to females being able to attend school.
In addition, there were thousands who aided the U.S.
military in various capacities that were left behind. The number of these
individuals applying for emergency refugee protective status will grow and for
the most part will be granted. The
situation in Syria for the Kurds and Yazidis who face severe ethnic and
religious discrimination, and in some instances, attempts at genocide, will worsen as will their applications for emergency refugee status. Additionally,
there has been an increase in illegal immigration from countries in Asia facing
unstable political situations, not to mention the growing threat of war due to
China's growing aggression.
Finally, there will be continued mass migration from South
and Central America due to growing economic instability, increasing violence,
and political corruption (which tend to include the police and military). Thus far, most of it is stopped at the
Mexican/U.S. border. However, the influx has put a tremendous strain on Mexico's
resources, despite increased U.S. aid (the State Department confirms that in
2021 we gave $321 million dollars to Mexico and Central America in humanitarian
aid). This money covered refugees, asylum seekers and other migrants, and is
expected to increase under Biden.
It's worth nothing that while amnesty isn't on the table
this go around, the Biden Administration has switched gears when it comes to businesses
hiring illegal workers. Now, under Biden's revised plan, ICE agents would
"look the other way" in exchange for employees ratting out employers,
meaning more illegal workers will remain in the country rather than be deported.
Also not on the table is what to do about individuals and
groups who undermine U.S. immigration law by illegally bringing illegals into
this country and providing them with housing, jobs, and other forms of
assistance (most of these are religious groups who believe they're exempt from
the law).
Like with businesses, those caught could face fines, loss of
their tax exempt status, and/or jail time. Taxpayers pay out an estimated $113
million dollars a year to support these illegals, not including what they
unknowingly give in the way of donations to certain churches and religious
institutions. Apparently, there will no change in the existing laws unless
forced by U.S. citizens.
Until the political class in Washington and around the
country develops the fortitude to put an end to illegal immigration while
simultaneously proving aid to legitimate humanitarian needs, illegal
immigration will remain a growing problem and will lead to a destabilization of
the U.S. economy, as well as the political and social structure of this nation.
This will require the American voters to reward and punish those politicians at
the ballot box and to call them out at every public venue possible.
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